Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.449240 0.526379 0.610638 0.709227 0.821124 0.943878 1.088421
2025-01-12 0.311320 0.410600 0.529959 0.682756 0.871760 1.096397 1.381943
2025-01-19 0.231875 0.338807 0.478293 0.670642 0.925637 1.248374 1.683420
2025-01-26 0.186831 0.298336 0.454275 0.683074 1.004015 1.431142 2.034054
2025-02-02 0.153362 0.265534 0.432540 0.691336 1.072518 1.601951 2.378685
2025-02-09 0.127208 0.237587 0.411710 0.695253 1.131488 1.760577 2.714992
2025-02-16 0.109871 0.219883 0.402711 0.713800 1.210975 1.951537 3.107662
2025-02-23 0.093773 0.200842 0.388014 0.720164 1.270399 2.115123 3.469164
2025-03-02 0.075841 0.174642 0.356829 0.694562 1.275022 2.193853 3.706295
2025-03-09 0.067262 0.164656 0.352429 0.713248 1.352212 2.388870 4.131770
2025-03-16 0.058990 0.153551 0.344111 0.723412 1.414883 2.563608 4.534349
2025-03-23 0.054815 0.150420 0.350475 0.760657 1.526718 2.824507 5.088232
2025-03-30 0.046782 0.137099 0.335066 0.755886 1.565061 2.968352 5.464853
2025-04-06 0.039406 0.123663 0.317371 0.744500 1.590193 3.091376 5.814594
2025-04-13 0.033488 0.112426 0.302539 0.736772 1.620797 3.224884 6.188402
2025-04-20 0.029939 0.106660 0.299050 0.751989 1.696200 3.441586 6.715973
2025-04-27 0.026514 0.100371 0.293313 0.761525 1.760790 3.642030 7.224720
2025-05-04 0.023276 0.093775 0.285742 0.765964 1.815085 3.826160 7.713052
2025-05-11 0.021182 0.090220 0.285223 0.786170 1.902967 4.077326 8.333316
2025-05-18 0.018766 0.084928 0.279332 0.793101 1.963318 4.279283 8.872937
2025-05-25 0.015403 0.075241 0.259916 0.765298 1.946901 4.332205 9.139525
2025-06-01 0.014101 0.072749 0.260140 0.785598 2.036591 4.596653 9.812907
2025-06-08 0.012656 0.069244 0.256858 0.796637 2.106344 4.824929 10.427420